Prof. CHAN Chung Leung Johnny

• Tropical meteorology
• Mesoscale meteorology
• Urban meteorology
• Climate and climate change

• Chang, C. P., J. C. L. Chan and J. T. Wang (Editors), 1998:  Proceedings of the Third International Conference on East Asian and Western Pacific Meteorology and Climate.  World Scientific, 562pp.
• Chan, J. C. L. and J. Kepert (Editors), 2010: Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones – From Science to Mitigation. World Scientific, 436pp.

Selected publications since 2015

1. Lin, I.-I. and J. C. L. Chan, 2015:  Recent decrease in tropical cyclone destructive potential in the western North Pacific Ocean. Nature Comm., DOI: 10.1038/ncomms8182
2. Moon, I.-J., S. H. Kim, P. Klotzbach and J. C. L. Chan, 2015: Roles of interbasin frequency changes in the poleward shifts of the maximum intensity location of tropical cyclones. Environ. Res. Lett. 10 104004 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/104004.
3. Tang, C. K. and J. C. L. Chan, 2016: Idealized simulations of the effect of topography on the tracks of tropical cyclones with different sizes. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,142, 793–804.
4. Holst, C., F. C. Y. Tam and J. C. L. Chan, 2016: Sensitivity of urban rainfall to anthropogenic heat flux – a numerical experiment. Geophys. Res. Lett.,43, 2240–2248.
5. Chan, K. T. F. and J. C. L. Chan, 2016: Tropical cyclone recurvature: an intrinsic property? phys. Res. Lett.,43, 8769–8774.
6. Tang, C. K. and J. C. L. Chan, 2016: Idealized simulations of the effect of Taiwan topography on the tracks of tropical cyclones with different steering flow strengths.Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 142, 3211-3221.
7. Liu, K. S. and J. C. L. Chan, 2017: Variations of power dissipation index in the East Asia region. Clim. Dyn., 48, 1963–1985.
8. Zhao, X.-H. and J. C. L. Chan, 2017: Changes in tropical cyclone intensity with translation speed and mixed layer depth: Idealized WRF-ROMS coupled model simulations. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 143, 152-163.
9. Park, D.-S. R., C.-H. Ho, J. C. L. Chan, K.-J Ha, H.-S. Kim, J. Kim, and J.-H. Kim, 2017: Asymmetric response of tropical cyclone activity to global warming over the North Atlantic and western North Pacific from CMIP5 model projections. Scientific Reports 7, 41354, doi:10.1038/srep41354
10. Choi, W., C.-H. Ho, D.-S. R. Park, J. Kim and J. C. L. Chan, 2017: Near-future prediction of tropical cyclone activity over the North Atlantic. J. Climate, 30, 8795-8809.
11. Lok, C. C. F. and J. C. L. Chan, 2018: Simulating seasonal tropical cyclone intensities at landfall along South China coast. Clim. Dyn., 50, 2661-2672.
12. Lok, C. C. F. and J. C. L. Chan, 2018: Changes of tropical cyclone landfalls in Southern China throughout the twenty-first century. Clim. Dyn., 51, 2467-2483.
13. Kim, O.-Y. and J. C. L. Chan, 2018: Cyclone-track based seasonal prediction for South Pacific tropical cyclone activity using APCC multi-model ensemble prediction.  Clim. Dyn., 51, 3209-3229.
14. Kim, D., C.-H. Ho, D.-S. R. Park, J. C. L. Chan, and Y. Jung, 2018: The relationship between tropical cyclone rainfall area and environmental conditions over the subtropical oceans.  J. Climate, 31, 4605-4616.
15. Hu, K., J. C. L. Chan, G. Huang, G. Chen and W. Mei, 2018: A train-like extreme multiple tropical cyclogenesis event in the Northwest Pacific in 2004. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 8529-8535.
16. Camp, J., M. J. Roberts, R. E. Comer, P. Wu, C. MacLachlan, P. E. Bett, N. Golding, R. Toumi and J. C. L. Chan, 2019: The western Pacific subtropical high and tropical cyclone landfall: seasonal forecasts using the Met Office GloSea5 system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 145, 105-116.
17. Choi, W., C.-H. Ho, J. Kim and J. C. L. Chan, 2019: Near-future tropical cyclone predictions in the western North Pacific: Fewer tropical storms but more typhoons. Clim. Dyn. doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04647-x
18. Sajjad, M. and J. C. L. Chan, 2019: Risk assessment for the sustainability of coastal communities: A preliminary study. Sci. Total Environ., 671, 339-350.
19. Chang, M., C.-H. Ho, J. C. L. Chan, M.-S. Park, S.-W. Son, and J. Kim, 2019: The tropical transition in the western North Pacific: The case of Tropical Cyclone Peipah (2007). J. Geophys. Res. – Atmospheres, 124, 5151-5165 DOI: 10.1029/2018JD029446
20. Moon, I.-J., S.-H. Kim and J. C. L. Chan, 2019: Climate change and tropical cyclone trend. Nature, 570, E3–E5, doi: 10.1038/s41586-019-1222-3.
21. Knutson, T., S. J. Camargo, J. C. L. Chan, K. Emanuel, C.-H. Ho, J. Kossin, M. Mohapatra, M. Satoh, M. Sugi, K. Walsh, and L. Wu, 2019: Tropical cyclones and climate change assessment: Part I. Detection and attribution. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0189.1
22. Knutson, T., S. J. Camargo, J. C. L. Chan, K. Emanuel, C.-H. Ho, J. Kossin, M. Mohapatra, M. Satoh, M. Sugi, K. Walsh, and L. Wu, 2019: Tropical cyclones and climate change assessment: Part. II. Projected Response to Anthropogenic Warming. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0194.1
23. Sajjad, M., Y. Li, Y.F. Li, J. C. L. Chan and S. Khalid, 2019: Integrating typhoon destructive potential and social-ecological systems towards resilient coastal communities. Earth’s Future doi:10.1029/2019EF001226
24. Wang, Q., J. Li, F.-F. Jin, J. C. L. Chan, C. Wang, R. Ding, C. Sun, F. Zheng, J. Feng, F. Xie, Y. Li, F. Li, and Y. Xu, 2019: Tropical cyclones act to intensify El Niño. Nature Comm. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-11720-w
25. Sparks, N., K. K. Hon, P. W. Chan, S. Wang, J. C. L. Chan, T.-C. Lee, and R. Toumi, 2019: Aircraft observations of tropical cyclone boundary layer turbulence over the South China Sea. J. Atmos. Sci., 76, 3773-3783.
26. Kao, Y.-C., J. D. B. Jou, J. C. L. Chan and W.-C. Lee, 2019: An observational study of a coastal barrier jet induced by a landfalling typhoon. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 4589-4609.
27. Luo, Y., R. Xia, and J. C. L. Chan, 2020: Characteristics, physical mechanisms, and prediction of pre-summer rainfall over South China: Research progress during 2008-2019. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 98, 19−42.
28. Sajjad, M., J. C. L. Chan and S. Kanwal, 2020: Integrating spatial statistics tools for coastal risk management: A case-study of typhoon risk in Mainland China. Ocean and Coastal Manage. DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.105018
29. Yamaguchi, M., J. C. L. Chan, I.-J. Moon, K. Yoshida and R. Mizuta, 2020: Global warming changes tropical cyclone translation speed. Nature Comm. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-13902-y
30. Sajjad, M., J. C. L. Chan and N. Lin, 2020: Incorporating natural habitats into coastal risk assessment frameworks. Environmental Science and Policy, 106, 99–110, DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.01.004.
31. Sajjad, M., J. C. L. Chan and N. Lin, 2020: Spatial heterogeneities of current and future hurricane flood risk along the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf coasts. Sci. Total Environ. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136704
32. Ha, K.-J., B.-H. Kim, E.-S. Chung, J. C. L. Chan and C.-P. Chang, 2020: Major factors of global and regional monsoon rainfall changes: natural versus anthropogenic forcing. Environ. Res. Lett. 15, 034055 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7767
33. Yan, M., J. C. L. Chan and K. Zhao, 2020: Impacts of urbanization on the precipitation characteristics in the Guangdong Province of China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 37, 696-706 DOI: 10.1007/s00376-020-9218-3.
34. Li, Z., Y. Luo, Y. Du and J. C. L. Chan, 2020: Statistical characteristics of presummer rainfall over South China and associated synoptic conditions. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 98, 213−233.
35. Liu, K. S. and J. C. L. Chan, 2020: Recent increase in landfall intensity of tropical cyclones making landfall in South China. Clim. Dyn., 55, 1059-1074 DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05311-5.
36. Park, J., D.-H. Cha, M.-K. Lee, J Moon, S.-J. Hahm, K. Noh, J. C. L. Chan and M. Bell, 2020: Impact of cloud microphysics schemes on tropical cyclone forecast over the western North Pacific. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 125, e2019JD032288. DOI: 10.1029/2019JD032288
37. Liu, K. S., J. C. L. Chan and H. Kubota, 2021: Meridional oscillation of tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific during the past 110 years. Climatic Change. DOI:10.1007/s10584-021-02983-8.
38. Liang, M., J. C. L. Chan, J. Xu and M. Yamaguchi, 2021: Numerical prediction of tropical cyclogenesis Part I: Evaluation of model performance. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 147, 1626–1641 DOI: 10.1002/qj.3987
39. Roy, S., Y. F. Lam, H. T. Ngo, J. C. L. Chan, and J. S. Fu, 2021: Development of 2015 Vietnam emission inventory for power generation units. Atmos. Environ. 247, 118042, DOI:/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.118042
40. Wada, A. and J. C. L. Chan, 2021: Increasing TCHP in the western North Pacific and its influence on the intensity of Faxai and Hagibis in 2019. SOLA 17A, 29−32, DOI:10.2151/sola.17A-005
41. Tu, S., J. Xu, J. C. L. Chan, K. Huang, F. Xu, and L. Chiu, 2021: Recent global decrease in the inner-core rain rate of tropical cyclones. Nature Comm. DOI:10.1038/s41467-021-22304-y
42. Liang, M., J. Xu, J. C. L. Chan, C. Liu and H. Xu, 2021: How does the onset time of El Niño events affect tropical cyclone genesis and intensity over the Western North Pacific? Int’l J Climat. DOI: 10.1002/joc.7227
43. Lok, C. C. F., J. C. L. Chan and R. Toumi, 2021: Tropical cyclones near landfall can induce their own intensification through feedbacks on radiative forcing. Comm. Earth Environ. DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00259-8.
44. Magee, A. D., A. S. Kiem and J. C. L. Chan, 2021: A new approach for location-specific seasonal outlooks of typhoon and super typhoon frequency across the Western North Pacific region. Sci. Rept. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-98329-6.
45. Ren, G., J. C. L. Chan, H. Kubota, Z. Zhang, J. Li, Yongxiang Zhang, Yingxian Zhang, Y. Yang, Y. Ren, X. Sun, Y. Su, Y. Liu, Z. Hao, X. Xue and Y. Qin, 2021: Historical and recent change in extreme climate over East Asia. Climatic Change, 168:22 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03227-5
46. Li, Z., J. C. L. Chan, K. Zhao and X. Chen, 2021: Impacts of urban expansion on the diurnal variations of summer monsoon precipitation over the south China coast. J. Geophys. Res. – Atmospheres DOI: 10.1029/2021JD035318
47. Lee, M., T. Kim, D.-H. Cha, S.-K. Min, D.-S. R. Park, S.-W. Yeh and J. C. L. Chan, 2021: How does Pacific Decadal Oscillation affect tropical cyclone activity over Far East Asia? Geophys. Res. Lett. DOI: 10.1029/2021GL096267
48. Luo, X., L. Yang, S. Chen, D. L., J. C. L. Chan and D. Wang, 2022: The decadal variation of eastward-moving tropical cyclones in the South China Sea during 1980-2020. Geophy. Res. Lett. DOI: 10.1029/2021GL096640
49. Kim, H.-S., D.-S. R. Park, C.-H. Ho, I.-J. Moon, and J. C. L. Chan, 2022: Latitudinal variation of the lifetime maximum intensity of Atlantic tropical cyclones controlled by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett. DOI: 10.1029/2021GL097459
50. Tu, S., J. C. L. Chan and J. Xu, 2022: Opposite changes in tropical cyclone rain rate during the recent El Niño and La Niña years. Geophys. Res. Lett. DOI: 10.1029/2021GL097412
51. Chand, S. S., K. J. E. Walsh, S. J. Camargo, J. Kossin, K. J. Tory, M. F. Wehner, J. C. L. Chan, P. J. Klotzbach, A. J. Dowdy, S. S. Bell, H. A. Ramsay and H. Murakami, 2022: Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming. Nature Climate Change (in press)
52. Liang, M., J. C. L. Chan, J. Xu and M. Yamaguchi, 2021: Numerical prediction of tropical cyclogenesis Part II: Identification of large-scale physical processes under the monsoon shear line synoptic pattern. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. (in press)
53. Chan, K. T. F., K. Zhang, Y. Wu and J. C. L. Chan, 2022: Landfalling hurricane track modes and decay. Nature (in press)

• Chan, J.C.L., 2015: Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific. In: Gerald R. North (editor-in-chief), John Pyle and Fuqing Zhang (editors). Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, 2nd edition, Vol 6, pp. 77–84.
• Chan, J. C. L., 2017: Physical mechanisms responsible for track changes and rainfall distributions associated with tropical cyclone landfall. Oxford Handbooks Online, DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190676889.013.16

• Research Grants Council of Hong Kong
• Natural Science Foundation of China/Research Grants Council of Hong Kong Joint Research Scheme
• US Office of Naval Research
• Risk Prediction Initiative, Bermuda Institute for Ocean Sciences
• SwissRe Insurance Company
• City University of Hong Kong